CS2 Skin Rarity Guide
Understanding skin rarities, drop rates, and how they affect value. From Consumer Grade to Exceedingly Rare special items.
Rarity Tiers
Knife Drop Rate
StatTrak™ Chance
Covert Drop Rate
CS2 Rarity Tiers Explained
Consumer Grade
Most common skins, basic designs
Example Skins:
- P250 | Sand Dune
- Nova | Polar Mesh
- G3SG1 | Desert Storm
Characteristics:
- Simple patterns and colors
- High drop rate from cases
- Often used for trade-ups
- Minimal investment value
Price Range
$0.03 - $5
Industrial Grade
Common skins with slightly better designs
Example Skins:
- AK-47 | Elite Build
- AWP | Acheron
- M4A1-S | Fizzy POP
Characteristics:
- More detailed patterns
- Better color schemes
- Some community favorites
- Trade-up material
Price Range
$0.10 - $20
Mil-Spec
Uncommon skins with quality designs
Example Skins:
- M4A4 | Desolate Space
- USP-S | Cortex
- AK-47 | Redline
Characteristics:
- Popular designs
- Good color combinations
- Some iconic skins
- Decent investment potential
Price Range
$0.50 - $50
Restricted
Rare skins with premium designs
Example Skins:
- AWP | Hyper Beast
- AK-47 | Fuel Injector
- M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire
Characteristics:
- High-quality artwork
- Vibrant colors
- Community favorites
- Good investment options
Price Range
$2 - $200
Classified
Very rare skins with exceptional designs
Example Skins:
- AK-47 | Vulcan
- AWP | Asiimov
- M4A4 | Howl (Contraband)
Characteristics:
- Premium designs
- High demand
- Strong investment potential
- Status symbols
Price Range
$10 - $1,000
Covert
Extremely rare skins, top tier designs
Example Skins:
- AWP | Dragon Lore
- AK-47 | Wild Lotus
- M4A4 | Poseidon
Characteristics:
- Most sought-after skins
- Exceptional artwork
- Highest investment value
- Ultimate status symbols
Price Range
$50 - $10,000+
Exceedingly Rare
Knives, gloves, and special items
Example Skins:
- Karambit | Fade
- Butterfly Knife | Doppler
- Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box
Characteristics:
- Special animations
- Unique inspect animations
- Pattern variations
- Ultimate collectibles
Price Range
$100 - $50,000+
Drop Rate Calculator
Estimated cost: $250.00 (at $2.50 per case + key)
Consumer Grade
79.92%Expected drops
Industrial Grade
15.98%Expected drops
Mil-Spec
3.2%Expected drops
Restricted
0.64%Expected drops
Classified
0.128%Expected drops
Covert
0.0256%Expected drops
Exceedingly Rare
0.26%Expected drops
Expected Knives: 0.260
With 100 cases, you have approximately 0.26% chance of getting at least one knife. Remember, these are statistical averages - actual results vary!
Special Categories
StatTrak™
Tracks kills with the weapon
Not available for knives in some cases
Souvenir
Dropped during major tournaments
Features golden stickers from the match
Contraband
Removed from drop pool
Only M4A4 | Howl and stickers
Factors Affecting Skin Value Beyond Rarity
Rarity
Higher rarity generally means higher price
Condition
Factory New worth significantly more than Battle-Scarred
Popularity
Popular skins command premium prices regardless of rarity
Pattern
Rare patterns can multiply value significantly
Float Value
Lower float (better condition) increases value
Supply
Limited supply from old cases increases value
Visual Drop Rate Comparison
Note: Bar widths use logarithmic scale for better visualization of rare items
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the CS2 skin rarity tiers?
CS2 has 7 main rarity tiers: Consumer Grade (White), Industrial Grade (Light Blue), Mil-Spec (Blue), Restricted (Purple), Classified (Pink), Covert (Red), and Exceedingly Rare (Gold/Yellow) for knives and gloves.
What are the drop rates for each rarity?
Approximate drop rates: Consumer 79.92%, Industrial 15.98%, Mil-Spec 3.2%, Restricted 0.64%, Classified 0.128%, Covert 0.64%, Special Items 0.33%.
What is the chance of getting a knife?
The chance of unboxing a knife or gloves is approximately 0.26% or 1 in 385 cases. StatTrak versions have about 10% chance within that rarity.
Does rarity always mean higher value?
Not always. While rarer skins tend to be more valuable, factors like design popularity, wear condition, pattern, and demand can make some lower rarity skins worth more than higher rarity ones.
Ready to Find Your Dream Skin?
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